Archive - The Counterfactual

Extended Discourse on MAIM: Part 2 - Early Sabotage Under Uncertainty

Should China MAIM early in a world of strategic ambiguity?

Feb 7 • Sophie Kim

January 2026

Why does China open source their AI models?

A curious approach to AI competition

Published on The First Scattering • Jan 30

Extended Discourse on MAIM: Part 1 - Does Hardening Work?

Clarifying The Positional Incentives Argument

Jan 17 • Sophie Kim

AI Chips Can Be Tracked Cheaply And Securely

Despite what Nvidia’s lobbyists may say

Published on The First Scattering • Jan 16

Policy Memo: Why the U.S. Should Not Pursue MAIM

A Rational Case Against AI Sabotage Frameworks

Jan 16 • Sophie Kim

MAIM is Probably Not a Good Deal for America

The Problem of Positional Incentives

Jan 16 • Sophie Kim

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